Opportunities and threats ahead for NSW, say new ACIF Forecasts
The next 12 months are shaping up to be critical in how the local building and construction industry copes with seismic global and domestic changes, the latest industry forecasts by the Australian Construction Industry Forum (ACIF) show.
"The updated ACIF Forecasts are picking the big shifts of the last six months in work across the residential and non-residential building, and engineering construction sectors," said Peter Barda, ACIF Executive Director.
"There have been significant changes in the world and local economies since our last update in April," he said. "Events since then point to weakening demand."
"The big question is: how are these factors affecting demand for building and construction work? The ACIF Forecasts point to the affect these factors will have on order the books of consultants, builders, and trade contractors, state by state," said Mr Barda.
"ACIF Forecasts, driven by the industry's own peak consultative body, are proving their worth again as a cost-effective and reliable planning tool for everyone in the industry, at a time of great stress," said Mr Barda.
The chart of non-residential building work done in NSW, shows that there are signs that this sector is likely to rebound quite strongly from the GFC induced downturn.
The question is: in what areas and for what types of building – offices, retail, health? And what is happening with multi-unit residential demand over the next 2 to 5 years?
The updated ACIF Forecasts will answer these pressing questions and released at the ACIF Briefing breakfast to be held in Sydney on Friday 5 October 2012. Register online at www.acif.com.au/events or download a registration form.
ACIF Forecasts for NSW:
RESIDENTIAL: Modest growth is forecast into the 2013/14 year, followed by solid growth in new houses and apartments.
NON-RESIDENTIAL Retail, health, and office investment, all expected to contribute across the board in this sector in the short term (the next nine quarters).
ENGINEERING: Solid growth in engineering on the back of major road and rail expansion.
THE BIG PICTURE – LONG TERM TRENDS:The saddest picture of them all – chronic under-supply for more than a decade, and still looks sluggish at best.
Charts and data are available. Media passes to ACIF Briefings are available.
Australian Construction Industry Forum (ACIF) is the meeting place for leaders of the construction industry in Australia. ACIF facilitates and supports an active dialogue between the key players in residential and non-residential building, and engineering construction, other industry groups, and government agencies.
ACIF Members are the most significant Associations in the industry, spanning the entire asset creation process from feasibility through design, cost planning, construction and building and management. ACIF harnesses the resources of its Members to research and develop initiatives that benefit businesses of all sizes, from the largest of construction companies to small consultancies.
ACIF’s Members are: Airconditioning and Mechanical Contractors Association, Association of Consulting Architects, Australian Constructors Association, Australian Institute of Architects, Australian Institute of Building, Australian Institute of Building Surveyors, Australian Institute of Quantity Surveyors, Consult Australia, Engineers Australia, Fire Protection Association, Housing Industry Association, Master Builders Australia, National Electrical and Communications Association, National Fire Industry Association, National Precast Concrete Association, Property Council of Australia.
ACIF is available from www.acif.com.au.
About ACIF Forecasts
ACIF Forecasts are rolling ten year forecasts of demand across residential, non residential and engineering construction in Australia. The Forecasts are prepared by respected economic modellers and overseen by ACIF’s Construction Forecasting Council, an industry panel of expert analysts and researchers.
ACIF Forecasts are used by thousands of professionals each year, from across the full range of stakeholders, from major organisations to small consultancies. Updates to the ACIF Forecasts are released first at ACIF Briefings held around Australia in April and October. More information about ACIF Forecasts is available from www.acif.com.au/forecasts.
Peter Barda, Executive Director, Australian Construction Industry Forum
Phone: 1300 854 543, mobile: 0418 438 550, email: firstname.lastname@example.org
Pia Argiratos, Marketing Manager, Australian Construction Industry Forum
Mobile: 0405 144 314, email email@example.com